Synoptic Data

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Warnings, Cyclone & Synoptic Situation:                           [See disclaimer at bottom of page.]
Cyclone information is updated @ approx 3:00pm daily AEST.
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As issued by Bureau of Meteorology:

Severe Thunderstorm Alerts: (Check date and time)

IDQ21033
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

Cancellation of Severe Thunderstorm Warning
For people in Wide Bay and Burnett and Southeast Coast Forecast Districts.

Issued at 9:50 pm Saturday, 12 April 2025.

Heavy rainfall with thunderstorms has eased.

The immediate threat of severe thunderstorms has passed, but the situation will continue to be monitored and further warnings will be issued if necessary.

87 mm was recorded at Kippa-Ring in the 1 hour to 6:02 pm.

81 mm was recorded at Redcliffe in the 1 hour to 6 pm.

63 mm was observed at Tallebudgera Creek Dam in the 53 minutes to 3:26 pm.

Emergency services advise people to:
* Never drive, walk, play or ride through floodwater. It is dangerous.
* Stay away from storm water drains.
* Stay away from fallen powerlines.
* Drive slowly and never drive through floodwaters. If the road is flooded or damaged, go another way.
* For storm help, call the SES on 132 500 or download the free SES Assistance QLD app.

If severe thunderstorms develop in the Southeast Queensland area (east of Dalby from Rainbow Beach to Stanthorpe), a more detailed Severe Thunderstorm Warning will be issued to people in this area.

Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and emergency services would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.

Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532). Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

Severe Thunderstorm Area Information: (Check date and time)

IDQ21035
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

Cancellation of Severe Thunderstorm Warning - Southeast Queensland
For people in Somerset and Moreton Bay Council Areas.

Issued at 7:26 pm Saturday, 12 April 2025.

Severe thunderstorms have eased.

Severe thunderstorms are no longer affecting the Southeast Queensland area (east of Dalby from Rainbow Beach to Stanthorpe). The immediate threat of severe thunderstorms has passed, but the situation will continue to be monitored and further warnings will be issued if necessary.

87 mm was recorded at Kippa-Ring in the 1 hour to 6:02 pm.

81 mm was recorded at Redcliffe in the 1 hour to 6 pm.

63 mm was observed at Tallebudgera Creek Dam in the 53 minutes to 3:26 pm.

A more general severe thunderstorm warning remains current for parts of the Southeast Coast and Wide Bay and Burnett districts.

Qld. Current Cyclone Situation: (Updated Hourly)

IDQ20023
Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this
warning.

PRIORITY

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 49
Issued at 6:00 am EST on Saturday 8 March 2025

Headline:
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Alfred lies off Bribie Island and is moving slowly north.
It is expected to cross the mainland coast between Maroochydore and Bribie
Island during the morning.

Areas Affected:
Warning zone: None.

Watch zone: None.

Cancelled zone: Noosa to Brisbane.

Details of Ex-Tropical Cyclone Alfred 22U at 6:00 am AEST [7:00 am AEDT]:
Intensity: Tropical Low, sustained winds near the centre of 55 kilometres per
hour with wind gusts to 85 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 20 kilometres of 26.9 degrees South 153.3 degrees East,
estimated to be 65 kilometres north northeast of Brisbane and 40 kilometres
south southeast of Maroochydore.
Movement: northwest at 9 kilometres per hour.

Ex-Tropical Cyclone Alfred lies off Bribie Island and is moving slowly north.
Gales are no longer occurring over coastal or island locations. It is expected
to move towards and cross the mainland coast this morning, with winds weakening
further as it moves inland.

Despite its weakening, heavy rainfall is likely to continue over southeast
Queensland and northeast New South Wales during the weekend.

Hazards:
HEAVY RAINFALL is expected to continue over southeast Queensland and northeast
New South Wales during the weekend. HEAVY to locally INTENSE RAINFALL which may
lead to DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING may occur over coastal
and adjacent inland areas of southeast Queensland as Ex-Alfred moves inland
during today. Separate Severe Weather Warning, Flood Watches, and Flood
Warnings are current for southeast Queensland and northeast New South Wales.

ABNORMALLY HIGH TIDES are no longer occurring along the coastal areas, but are
expected to be higher than normal over the weekend. However, DAMAGING SURF may
continue with significant beach erosion for the open beaches between Noosa and
Ballina during the weekend. Separate Coastal Hazard and Hazardous Surf warnings
are current for southeast Queensland and New South Wales coasts.

Gales with DAMAGING WIND GUSTS are no longer occurring near Ex-Alfred's centre
or over offshore areas. Refer to a separate Severe Weather Warning for
possibility of DAMAGING WIND GUSTS about elevated terrain, along the southern
border ranges during today.

Refer to associated warnings for Queensland and New South Wales at
http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/warnings.

Recommended Action:
For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service (SES) on
132 500 (for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on
buildings or roof damage).

Next Advice:
No further advices will be issued for this system.

This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210.  The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.

A map showing the track of the cyclone is available at:
http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone

Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

IDQP0005
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN - EAST COAST:

IDQ20018
TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - EASTERN REGION
Issued by AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 0644 UTC 08/03/2025
Name: Ex-Tropical Cyclone Alfred
Identifier: 22U
Data At: 0600 UTC
Latitude: 26.9S
Longitude: 153.3E
Location Accuracy: within 10nm (20 km)
Movement Towards: west (270 deg)
Speed of Movement: 1 knots (2 km/h)
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 25 knots (45 km/h)
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 45 knots (85 km/h)
Central Pressure: 1000 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 64-knot winds:   nm (  km)
Radius of Maximum Winds:   nm (  km)
Dvorak Intensity Code: T1.0/1.5/W1.5/24HRS STT:W0.5/06HRS
Pressure of outermost isobar: 1006 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 50 nm (95 km)
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time    : Location    : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind   : Central Pressure
(UTC)        : degrees     :      nm  (km): knots(km/h): hPa
+06:  08/1200: 26.8S 152.6E:     025 (040):  025  (045): 1001
+12:  08/1800: 27.0S 151.4E:     035 (070):  020  (035): 1005
+18:  09/0000: 27.4S 150.4E:     050 (090):  020  (035): 1005
+24:  09/0600:             :              :            :
+36:  09/1800:             :              :            :
+48:  10/0600:             :              :            :
+60:  10/1800:             :              :            :
+72:  11/0600:             :              :            :
+96:  12/0600:             :              :            :
+120: 13/0600:             :              :            :
REMARKS:
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Alfred lies off Bribie Island and is very slow moving. It
is expected to cross the mainland coast between Maroochydore and Caboolture
this evening.

Gales associated with the circulation have eased, however, synoptically
enhanced gales with a large high pressure system to the south are occurring
along the northern Byron coast and southern Gold Coast coastal waters. The
morning ASCAT pass at 2303 UTC confirmed gales in this area.

Position is based on radar imagery and surface observations with good
confidence. Dvorak analysis: DT unable to be obtained. MET is 1.5 based on a 24
hour W trend PT is 1.0. FT is 1.0 with CI held at 1.5. Analysed intensity is
set at 25 knots based primarily on nearby surface observations.

Alfred is expected to move westward and over the mainland coast this evening,
being steered by a high in the Tasman Sea. Alfred is expected to cause heavy
rain areas over southeast Queensland and northeast New South Wales during the
weekend.

This will be the final Technical Bulletin for Alfred.

Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
==
There will be no further bulletins for this system unless it reintensifies.

Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

N.T. Current Cyclone Situation: (Updated Hourly)

 IDDP0002
 Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
 Northern Territory
 Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre

TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN - NORTH COAST:

IDD20020
TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - NORTHERN REGION
Issued by AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 1309 UTC 19/04/2025
Name: Tropical Low
Identifier: 30U
Data At: 1200 UTC
Latitude: 12.6S
Longitude: 141.0E
Location Accuracy: within 15nm (30 km)
Movement Towards: west (270 deg)
Speed of Movement: 2 knots (4 km/h)
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 25 knots (45 km/h)
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 45 knots (85 km/h)
Central Pressure: 1004 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 64-knot winds:   nm (  km)
Radius of Maximum Winds:   nm (  km)
Dvorak Intensity Code: T2.0/2.0/S0.0/24HRS STT:D0.5/06HRS
Pressure of outermost isobar: 1008 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 80 nm (150 km)
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time    : Location    : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind   : Central Pressure
(UTC)        : degrees     :      nm  (km): knots(km/h): hPa
+06:  19/1800: 12.7S 140.8E:     030 (050):  030  (055): 1002
+12:  20/0000: 12.7S 140.5E:     035 (065):  030  (055): 1002
+18:  20/0600: 12.7S 140.2E:     045 (085):  035  (065):  999
+24:  20/1200: 12.6S 139.7E:     050 (090):  040  (075):  997
+36:  21/0000: 12.4S 138.3E:     065 (125):  040  (075):  998
+48:  21/1200: 11.9S 136.7E:     085 (160):  030  (055): 1003
+60:  22/0000: 11.3S 135.1E:     100 (185):  030  (055): 1003
+72:  22/1200: 10.4S 133.4E:     115 (215):  030  (055): 1003
+96:  23/1200:  9.2S 131.4E:     150 (275):  025  (045): 1005
+120: 24/1200:  8.6S 130.8E:     185 (340):  025  (045): 1005
REMARKS:
Tropical Low 30U appears to have commenced its westward turn near the western
Cape York Peninsula coast. Another pulse of deep convection has begun southwest
of system centre in the last 3-6 hours. Position is based on Weipa radar with
good confidence.

Dvorak analysis: FT/CI=2.0/2.0. DT 3.0 based on shear pattern with recently
renewed deep convection near the centre. 24-hr trend of D- gives MET 2.5
adjusted to 2.0 based on PT. FT based on PT. Objective guidance at 1200 UTC:
ADT 34 kn, AiDT 35 kn, DPRINT 25 kn, MW Sounder (0951 UTC) 36 kn, and SATCON 38
kn (all 1-min average). Intensity is set at 25 kn based on an 0430 UTC AMSR2
pass and persistence.

30U lies on the western edge of an upper anticyclone and ahead of a slow moving
long wave upper trough west of WA. CIMSS analysed deep layer shear is moderate
northeasterly at 20 kn. MIMIC TPW suggests a generally moist atmosphere over
30U though an area of dry air over the eastern Top End is near the periphery of
the circulation.  SSTs are around 30C. The moderate deep layer NE'ly shear is
likely to be maintained through the short to medium term. Although good upper
outflow and some upper divergence to the south may offset significant
weakening, in the absence of any strong low level forcing, the likelihood of
30U developing much further would seem limited. General model guidance indicate
a balanced steady state during the weekend and into early next week with
periods of quadrant gales on the southern side, possibly associated with
pulsating deep convection near the centre as the shear waxes and wanes.

From tonight, a low to mid-level anticyclone is forecast to develop south of
the system and will cause 30U to turn towards the west, moving across the Gulf
of Carpentaria over the next couple of days. The track will take 30U close to
the northeast Top End coast on Monday, before 30U continues to move into the
Arafura Sea where it is likely to persist for most of next week.

Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
==
The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 19/1930 UTC.

Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

Disclaimer: Do not base any important decisions on any information that you may receive from this site. Weather data from this site is a representation of current and past conditions in this local area and includes links to other sites. Do not use this information for emergency situations. In emergencies, please refer to the Bureau of Meteorology warning page: http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/warnings.shtml.