Gympie Radar Loop (BOM)
Thursday... Mostly sunny day. Slight (20%) chance of a shower in the evening. Light winds becoming north to northeasterly 20 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Fire Danger - High. MIN 17° MAX 33°
Outlook for Friday... Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm from the late morning, possibly severe. Light winds becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. MIN 21° MAX 28°
Outlook for Saturday... Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Light winds. MIN 20° MAX 27°
Outlook for Sunday... Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm. Heavy falls possible. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the evening. MIN 20° MAX 26°
Outlook for Monday... Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds south to southeasterly 25 to 30 km/h turning west to southwesterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day. MIN 19° MAX 29°
Outlook for Tuesday... Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming south to southwesterly 20 to 25 km/h during the morning. MIN 21° MAX 31°
Outlook for Wednesday... Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. Winds southerly 15 to 20 km/h tending southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the morning. MIN 20° MAX 30°
STATE FORECAST: Current Situation:
Tropical cyclone Owen is located over the southern Gulf of Carpentaria, and is
expected to continue moving westwards while intensifying up until Thursday. The
system is then expected to take an easterly track again, and may make landfall
about the southeast Gulf as a severe tropical cyclone, before tracking down the
east coast as a deep low pressure system over the weekend. A slow moving high
pressure system over the Tasman Sea will maintain a weakening ridge through
central and southeastern over the next few days. Moisture is likely to increase
through much of the state from today, likely combining with a significant upper
trough developing over southeastern Australia to lead to showers and
thunderstorms over much of the state on Thursday, shifting to central and
eastern districts late in the week.
Outlook for Thursday: Tropical Cyclone Owen is expected to turn and track back towards the east across the Gulf of Carpentaria while intensifying. Showers and thunderstorms will likely persist over the northern tropics and Gulf Country in the moist and unstable air mass with some heavy falls possible. Moisture will increase further through the interior of the state, combining with a surface trough that moves into western Queensland and an upper trough to result in showers and thunderstorms developing over much of the interior, and some of these storms may be severe. Temperatures will decrease to be near average in much of central and western Queensland. Moderate to fresh northeast to northwest winds, possibly east to northeast strong to gale force winds over the Gulf Country. Winds tending moderate to fresh southwesterly in the southwest during the day.
Outlook for Friday: Cyclone Owen is expected to move to the southeast, possibly making landfall over the southeast Gulf of Carpentaria coast with damaging to destructive winds, dangerous surf and tides near the coast and widespread heavy rainfall. An increasing onshore flow along the northeast coast will also lead to an increase in showers, some rain areas and thunderstorms with the potential for heavy falls returning over the northern districts. A surface trough will extend from the northwest of the state, through the central west to the Darling Downs, with deep tropical moisture being drawn into southern Queensland to the east of the trough. This combined with a strong upper trough over southern Queensland will lead to a high to very high chance of showers and thunderstorms, with some of the storms likely to be severe. It should become fine over the southwest.
Outlook for Saturday: Cyclone Owen is likely to adopt a track roughly parallel to the east coast of Queensland as a very deep low pressure system, and has the potential to produce a burst of heavy to intense rainfall leading to potential for severe flash flooding, dangerous surf and tides, widespread damaging to destructive winds and scattered severe thunderstorms along the east coast from the Cairns area to the Central Coast. More isolated showers and thunderstorms, possibly severe, are likely over the southeast, while fine conditions are likely over central and western parts.
Outlook for Sunday: There is uncertainty surrounding the movement of Cyclone Owen, however it is likely to continue its southeastward movement along the central coast as a deep tropical low extending the potential of heavy to intense rainfall leading to flash flooding, dangerous surf and tides, damaging to destructive winds and scattered severe thunderstorms further to the southeast coast.
Outlook for Monday until Wednesday: A new upper trough may move rapidly across the state and may interact with Cyclone Owen to enhance further heavy rainfall over the southeast parts of the state on Monday, easing from Tuesday as Owen moves back offshore and weakens. A few showers and thunderstorms possibly continuing over the east coast and the tropics on Tuesday and Wednesday, while it should remain fine and hot over the central and western regions.
Ted's Comment... Wednesday, 12 December 2018 17:13
Tropical cyclone Owen has a strong
tracking down the east coast as a deep low pressure system over the weekend,
showers and thunderstorms are possible for the
coming days, make sure that you are prepared for a bit of wild weather by
cleaning up any loose items in your yard. We will wait to see how TC Owen and
the associated thunderstorms progress over the next few days...
Gympie Seven Day Outlook: (linked to www.theweather.com.au)
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