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IDQ21033
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

Cancellation of Severe Thunderstorm Warning
For people in North Tropical Coast and Tablelands, Herbert and Lower Burdekin, Wide Bay and Burnett and Southeast Coast Forecast Districts.

Issued at 8:31 pm Wednesday, 31 December 2025.

Slow moving thunderstorms are easing.

Weather Situation: A surface trough is combining with a warm and humid environment to produce slow moving severe thunderstorms in the southeast. A monsoon trough has triggered slow moving thunderstorms in the north.

This warning is now cancelled.

59.0 mm was recorded at Archers Creek in 1 hour to 6:08pm.

43.0 mm was recorded at Yielo in the 30 minutes 6:43pm.

Emergency services advise people to:
* Never drive, walk, play or ride through floodwater. It is dangerous.
* Stay away from storm water drains.
* Stay away from fallen powerlines.
* Drive slowly and never drive through floodwaters. If the road is flooded or damaged, go another way.
* For storm help, call the SES on 132 500 or download the free SES Assistance QLD app.


Other warnings may be current.

Check https://www.bom.gov.au/weather-and-climate/warnings-and-alerts. Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and emergency services would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.


Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

IDQ21035
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

Cancellation of Severe Thunderstorm Warning - Southeast Queensland
For people in Ipswich, Gympie, Logan, Somerset, Scenic Rim, Southern Downs, Lockyer Valley, Sunshine Coast and Noosa Council Areas.

Issued at 8:32 pm Wednesday, 31 December 2025.

Slow moving thunderstorms are easing.

Severe thunderstorms are no longer affecting the Southeast Queensland area (east of Dalby from Rainbow Beach to Stanthorpe). This warning is now cancelled.

Emergency services advise people to:
* Never drive, walk, play or ride through floodwater. It is dangerous.
* Stay away from storm water drains.
* Stay away from fallen powerlines.
* Drive slowly and never drive through floodwaters. If the road is flooded or damaged, go another way.
* For storm help, call the SES on 132 500 or download the free SES Assistance QLD app.


Other warnings may be current.

Check https://www.bom.gov.au/weather-and-climate/warnings-and-alerts. Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and emergency services would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.


Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

IDQ20023
Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this
warning.

PRIORITY

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 49
Issued at 6:00 am EST on Saturday 8 March 2025

Headline:
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Alfred lies off Bribie Island and is moving slowly north.
It is expected to cross the mainland coast between Maroochydore and Bribie
Island during the morning.

Areas Affected:
Warning zone: None.

Watch zone: None.

Cancelled zone: Noosa to Brisbane.

Details of Ex-Tropical Cyclone Alfred 22U at 6:00 am AEST [7:00 am AEDT]:
Intensity: Tropical Low, sustained winds near the centre of 55 kilometres per
hour with wind gusts to 85 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 20 kilometres of 26.9 degrees South 153.3 degrees East,
estimated to be 65 kilometres north northeast of Brisbane and 40 kilometres
south southeast of Maroochydore.
Movement: northwest at 9 kilometres per hour.

Ex-Tropical Cyclone Alfred lies off Bribie Island and is moving slowly north.
Gales are no longer occurring over coastal or island locations. It is expected
to move towards and cross the mainland coast this morning, with winds weakening
further as it moves inland.

Despite its weakening, heavy rainfall is likely to continue over southeast
Queensland and northeast New South Wales during the weekend.

Hazards:
HEAVY RAINFALL is expected to continue over southeast Queensland and northeast
New South Wales during the weekend. HEAVY to locally INTENSE RAINFALL which may
lead to DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING may occur over coastal
and adjacent inland areas of southeast Queensland as Ex-Alfred moves inland
during today. Separate Severe Weather Warning, Flood Watches, and Flood
Warnings are current for southeast Queensland and northeast New South Wales.

ABNORMALLY HIGH TIDES are no longer occurring along the coastal areas, but are
expected to be higher than normal over the weekend. However, DAMAGING SURF may
continue with significant beach erosion for the open beaches between Noosa and
Ballina during the weekend. Separate Coastal Hazard and Hazardous Surf warnings
are current for southeast Queensland and New South Wales coasts.

Gales with DAMAGING WIND GUSTS are no longer occurring near Ex-Alfred's centre
or over offshore areas. Refer to a separate Severe Weather Warning for
possibility of DAMAGING WIND GUSTS about elevated terrain, along the southern
border ranges during today.

Refer to associated warnings for Queensland and New South Wales at
http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/warnings.

Recommended Action:
For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service (SES) on
132 500 (for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on
buildings or roof damage).

Next Advice:
No further advices will be issued for this system.

This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210.  The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.

A map showing the track of the cyclone is available at:
http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone

Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

IDQP0005
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

IDQ20018
TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - EASTERN REGION
Issued by AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 0644 UTC 08/03/2025
Name: Ex-Tropical Cyclone Alfred
Identifier: 22U
Data At: 0600 UTC
Latitude: 26.9S
Longitude: 153.3E
Location Accuracy: within 10nm (20 km)
Movement Towards: west (270 deg)
Speed of Movement: 1 knots (2 km/h)
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 25 knots (45 km/h)
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 45 knots (85 km/h)
Central Pressure: 1000 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 64-knot winds:   nm (  km)
Radius of Maximum Winds:   nm (  km)
Dvorak Intensity Code: T1.0/1.5/W1.5/24HRS STT:W0.5/06HRS
Pressure of outermost isobar: 1006 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 50 nm (95 km)
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time    : Location    : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind   : Central Pressure
(UTC)        : degrees     :      nm  (km): knots(km/h): hPa
+06:  08/1200: 26.8S 152.6E:     025 (040):  025  (045): 1001
+12:  08/1800: 27.0S 151.4E:     035 (070):  020  (035): 1005
+18:  09/0000: 27.4S 150.4E:     050 (090):  020  (035): 1005
+24:  09/0600:             :              :            :
+36:  09/1800:             :              :            :
+48:  10/0600:             :              :            :
+60:  10/1800:             :              :            :
+72:  11/0600:             :              :            :
+96:  12/0600:             :              :            :
+120: 13/0600:             :              :            :
REMARKS:
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Alfred lies off Bribie Island and is very slow moving. It
is expected to cross the mainland coast between Maroochydore and Caboolture
this evening.

Gales associated with the circulation have eased, however, synoptically
enhanced gales with a large high pressure system to the south are occurring
along the northern Byron coast and southern Gold Coast coastal waters. The
morning ASCAT pass at 2303 UTC confirmed gales in this area.

Position is based on radar imagery and surface observations with good
confidence. Dvorak analysis: DT unable to be obtained. MET is 1.5 based on a 24
hour W trend PT is 1.0. FT is 1.0 with CI held at 1.5. Analysed intensity is
set at 25 knots based primarily on nearby surface observations.

Alfred is expected to move westward and over the mainland coast this evening,
being steered by a high in the Tasman Sea. Alfred is expected to cause heavy
rain areas over southeast Queensland and northeast New South Wales during the
weekend.

This will be the final Technical Bulletin for Alfred.

Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
==
There will be no further bulletins for this system unless it reintensifies.

Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

 IDDP0002
 Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
 Northern Territory
 Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre

IDD20020
TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - NORTHERN REGION
Issued by AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 1920 UTC 23/11/2025
Name: Severe Tropical Cyclone Fina
Identifier: 02U
Data At: 1800 UTC
Latitude: 13.7S
Longitude: 128.5E
Location Accuracy: within 10nm (20 km)
Movement Towards: west southwest (249 deg)
Speed of Movement: 4 knots (8 km/h)
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 100 knots (185 km/h)
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 140 knots (260 km/h)
Central Pressure: 943 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant: 35 nm (65 km)
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant: 45 nm (85 km)
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: 55 nm (100 km)
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant: 50 nm (95 km)
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant: 20 nm (35 km)
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant: 40 nm (75 km)
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant: 40 nm (75 km)
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant: 30 nm (55 km)
Radius of 64-knot winds: 25 nm (45 km)
Radius of Maximum Winds: 10 nm (15 km)
Dvorak Intensity Code: T6.0/6.0/D1.0/24HRS STT:D0.5/06HRS
Pressure of outermost isobar: 1003 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 115 nm (215 km)
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time    : Location    : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind   : Central Pressure
(UTC)        : degrees     :      nm  (km): knots(km/h): hPa
+06:  24/0000: 13.8S 128.2E:     025 (040):  095  (175):  947
+12:  24/0600: 13.9S 127.9E:     030 (055):  085  (155):  957
+18:  24/1200: 13.9S 127.5E:     040 (070):  075  (140):  966
+24:  24/1800: 13.9S 127.2E:     045 (080):  050  (095):  985
+36:  25/0600: 14.1S 126.6E:     060 (115):  030  (055):  997
+48:  25/1800: 14.4S 126.2E:     080 (145):  025  (045):  999
+60:  26/0600: 15.0S 125.9E:     115 (215):  025  (045): 1000
+72:  26/1800: 15.7S 125.8E:     155 (290):  025  (045): 1000
+96:  27/1800:             :              :            :
+120: 28/1800:             :              :            :
REMARKS:
Severe Tropical Cyclone Fina is a category 4 system and moving towards the
northern WA coastline.

Centre fix is good, based on recent scatterometry satellite and radar data with
Fina displaying a well-defined circular eye.

Intensity is 100 knots based primarily on subjective Dvorak, remaining
resonably consistent with most objective aids and earlier SAR imagery.

Dvorak: 3-hour average DT is 5.5 to 6.0 using an eye pattern, surrounding shade
is CMG with W or B eye and CMG surround. Recently, have seen further warming
and consolidation of the eye suggestive of further intensification, and a
firmer DT estimate of 6.0. MET is 6.0 with a D trend, PAT agrees at 6.0. FT/CI
6.0/6.0  based on 3 hourly DT.

Latest available CIMSS objective guidance (1-min winds) remain somewhat
problematic. For 1730 UTC: ADT 84 kn (CI=4.8), AiDT 100 kn, DPRINT 106 kn,
SATCON 91 kn. ADT seems to have a low bias with a struggle to recognise the eye
pattern/scene, ADT raw T numbers when eye is recognised jump to 6.8 to 7.1.
Overall low confidence in ADT and resultant SATCON.

While fluctuating in its appearance in EIR imagery in the past six hours,
presentation has been more consistent recently. Fina is maintaining its very
compact circulation and solid category 4 strength. Guidance is generally
consistent in Fina continuing on a southwest track across the Joseph Bonaparte
Gulf in the short term taking it towards the northeast Kimberley coast of
Western Australia and is likely to cross the Kimberley coast later Monday or
early Tuesday as a tropical cyclone, however it is expected to be on a
weakening trend as it approaches.

Most models have called for increasing vertical shear over the cyclone during
Monday, however latest available CIMSS shear analysis at 12UTC indicates
northerly shear remaining less than 10 knots. This, coupled with other
supporting factors including warm SST, outflow to the southwest and sufficient
low-level moisture, means that Fina could maintain intensity for the next six
hours or so before weakening begins later on Monday as conditions become less
favourable. Although potentially delayed a little, most guidance still
indicates an increase in vertical shear, and this in combination with dry mid
to upper level air on the northern periphery and eventual land interaction, is
expected to weaken the system relatively quickly. Though Fina is expected to
weaken as it moves westwards during Monday, it is forecast to impact the
northeast Kimberley coast of Western Australia as a severe tropical cyclone and
then weaken quickly over land.

Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
==
The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 24/0130 UTC.

Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).