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IDQ21033
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

Cancellation of Severe Thunderstorm Warning
For people in Central Highlands and Coalfields, Capricornia and Wide Bay and Burnett Forecast Districts.

Issued at 11:06 pm Friday, 16 May 2025.

Severe thunderstorms are no longer occurring in QUEENSLAND.

The immediate threat of severe thunderstorms has passed, but the situation will continue to be monitored and further warnings will be issued if necessary.

49 mm of rainfall was recorded at Mimosa Creek in the 30 minutes to 8:30pm.

Emergency services advise people to:
* Never drive, walk, play or ride through floodwater. It is dangerous.
* Stay away from storm water drains.
* Stay away from fallen powerlines.
* Drive slowly and never drive through floodwaters. If the road is flooded or damaged, go another way.
* For storm help, call the SES on 132 500 or download the free SES Assistance QLD app.


Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and emergency services would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.


Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

IDQ21035
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

Cancellation of Severe Thunderstorm Warning - Southeast Queensland
For people in Somerset, Redland City, Brisbane City and Moreton Bay Council Areas.

Issued at 4:05 am Friday, 25 April 2025.

Severe thunderstorms with heavy rainfall are still affecting parts of southeast Queensland this morning but the immediate risk for areas between Caboolture and Cleveland has eased.

Severe thunderstorms are no longer affecting the Southeast Queensland area (east of Dalby from Rainbow Beach to Stanthorpe). The immediate threat of severe thunderstorms has passed, but the situation will continue to be monitored and further warnings will be issued if necessary.

Emergency services advise people to:
* Never drive, walk, play or ride through floodwater. It is dangerous.
* Stay away from storm water drains.
* Stay away from fallen powerlines.
* Drive slowly and never drive through floodwaters. If the road is flooded or damaged, go another way.
* For storm help, call the SES on 132 500 or download the free SES Assistance QLD app.


A more general severe thunderstorm warning remains current for parts of the Southeast Coast district.

Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and emergency services would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.


Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

IDQ20023
Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this
warning.

PRIORITY

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 49
Issued at 6:00 am EST on Saturday 8 March 2025

Headline:
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Alfred lies off Bribie Island and is moving slowly north.
It is expected to cross the mainland coast between Maroochydore and Bribie
Island during the morning.

Areas Affected:
Warning zone: None.

Watch zone: None.

Cancelled zone: Noosa to Brisbane.

Details of Ex-Tropical Cyclone Alfred 22U at 6:00 am AEST [7:00 am AEDT]:
Intensity: Tropical Low, sustained winds near the centre of 55 kilometres per
hour with wind gusts to 85 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 20 kilometres of 26.9 degrees South 153.3 degrees East,
estimated to be 65 kilometres north northeast of Brisbane and 40 kilometres
south southeast of Maroochydore.
Movement: northwest at 9 kilometres per hour.

Ex-Tropical Cyclone Alfred lies off Bribie Island and is moving slowly north.
Gales are no longer occurring over coastal or island locations. It is expected
to move towards and cross the mainland coast this morning, with winds weakening
further as it moves inland.

Despite its weakening, heavy rainfall is likely to continue over southeast
Queensland and northeast New South Wales during the weekend.

Hazards:
HEAVY RAINFALL is expected to continue over southeast Queensland and northeast
New South Wales during the weekend. HEAVY to locally INTENSE RAINFALL which may
lead to DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING may occur over coastal
and adjacent inland areas of southeast Queensland as Ex-Alfred moves inland
during today. Separate Severe Weather Warning, Flood Watches, and Flood
Warnings are current for southeast Queensland and northeast New South Wales.

ABNORMALLY HIGH TIDES are no longer occurring along the coastal areas, but are
expected to be higher than normal over the weekend. However, DAMAGING SURF may
continue with significant beach erosion for the open beaches between Noosa and
Ballina during the weekend. Separate Coastal Hazard and Hazardous Surf warnings
are current for southeast Queensland and New South Wales coasts.

Gales with DAMAGING WIND GUSTS are no longer occurring near Ex-Alfred's centre
or over offshore areas. Refer to a separate Severe Weather Warning for
possibility of DAMAGING WIND GUSTS about elevated terrain, along the southern
border ranges during today.

Refer to associated warnings for Queensland and New South Wales at
http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/warnings.

Recommended Action:
For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service (SES) on
132 500 (for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on
buildings or roof damage).

Next Advice:
No further advices will be issued for this system.

This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210.  The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.

A map showing the track of the cyclone is available at:
http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone

Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

IDQP0005
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

IDQ20018
TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - EASTERN REGION
Issued by AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 0644 UTC 08/03/2025
Name: Ex-Tropical Cyclone Alfred
Identifier: 22U
Data At: 0600 UTC
Latitude: 26.9S
Longitude: 153.3E
Location Accuracy: within 10nm (20 km)
Movement Towards: west (270 deg)
Speed of Movement: 1 knots (2 km/h)
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 25 knots (45 km/h)
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 45 knots (85 km/h)
Central Pressure: 1000 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 64-knot winds:   nm (  km)
Radius of Maximum Winds:   nm (  km)
Dvorak Intensity Code: T1.0/1.5/W1.5/24HRS STT:W0.5/06HRS
Pressure of outermost isobar: 1006 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 50 nm (95 km)
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time    : Location    : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind   : Central Pressure
(UTC)        : degrees     :      nm  (km): knots(km/h): hPa
+06:  08/1200: 26.8S 152.6E:     025 (040):  025  (045): 1001
+12:  08/1800: 27.0S 151.4E:     035 (070):  020  (035): 1005
+18:  09/0000: 27.4S 150.4E:     050 (090):  020  (035): 1005
+24:  09/0600:             :              :            :
+36:  09/1800:             :              :            :
+48:  10/0600:             :              :            :
+60:  10/1800:             :              :            :
+72:  11/0600:             :              :            :
+96:  12/0600:             :              :            :
+120: 13/0600:             :              :            :
REMARKS:
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Alfred lies off Bribie Island and is very slow moving. It
is expected to cross the mainland coast between Maroochydore and Caboolture
this evening.

Gales associated with the circulation have eased, however, synoptically
enhanced gales with a large high pressure system to the south are occurring
along the northern Byron coast and southern Gold Coast coastal waters. The
morning ASCAT pass at 2303 UTC confirmed gales in this area.

Position is based on radar imagery and surface observations with good
confidence. Dvorak analysis: DT unable to be obtained. MET is 1.5 based on a 24
hour W trend PT is 1.0. FT is 1.0 with CI held at 1.5. Analysed intensity is
set at 25 knots based primarily on nearby surface observations.

Alfred is expected to move westward and over the mainland coast this evening,
being steered by a high in the Tasman Sea. Alfred is expected to cause heavy
rain areas over southeast Queensland and northeast New South Wales during the
weekend.

This will be the final Technical Bulletin for Alfred.

Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
==
There will be no further bulletins for this system unless it reintensifies.

Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

 IDDP0002
 Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
 Northern Territory
 Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre

IDD20020
TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - NORTHERN REGION
Issued by AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 0649 UTC 12/05/2025
Name: Tropical Low
Identifier: 33U
Data At: 0600 UTC
Latitude: 8.3S
Longitude: 137.5E
Location Accuracy: within 40nm (75 km)
Movement Towards: northwest (307 deg)
Speed of Movement: 2 knots (5 km/h)
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 30 knots (55 km/h)
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 45 knots (85 km/h)
Central Pressure: 1002 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 64-knot winds:   nm (  km)
Radius of Maximum Winds:   nm (  km)
Dvorak Intensity Code: T1.5/2.0/W1.0/24HRS STT:W0.5/06HRS
Pressure of outermost isobar: 1006 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 150 nm (280 km)
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time    : Location    : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind   : Central Pressure
(UTC)        : degrees     :      nm  (km): knots(km/h): hPa
+06:  12/1200:  8.3S 137.0E:     055 (100):  030  (055): 1003
+12:  12/1800:  8.2S 136.4E:     060 (110):  025  (045): 1005
+18:  13/0000:  8.0S 135.9E:     060 (115):  025  (045): 1005
+24:  13/0600:  7.7S 135.4E:     070 (130):  025  (045): 1005
+36:  13/1800:  7.1S 134.0E:     085 (155):  020  (035): 1008
+48:  14/0600:             :              :            :
+60:  14/1800:             :              :            :
+72:  15/0600:             :              :            :
+96:  16/0600:             :              :            :
+120: 17/0600:             :              :            :
REMARKS:
Tropical Low 33U continues to weaken and has no chance of intensifying.
The low-level circulation remains poorly defined with ongoing deep convection
displaced southeast of the centre. Position in the Arufura Sea near the West
Papuan Island of Dolok is based on animated visible imagery with only moderate
confidence and likely elongated to a second centre to the southeast.
Intensity Vm=30kn located southeast of the centre based on a combination of
OSCAT 0311 UTC winds, model guidance and Dvorak.
Dvorak DT=1.5 is based on a shear pattern with the centre now over a degree
removed from the deep convection. MET = 1.5 based on a 24-hour D- trend and
FT/CI=1.5/2.0. Objective guidance (1-min mean at 0530 UTC unless otherwise
stated): ADT 34 kn, AiDT 33 kn, DPRINT 29 kn, DMINT N/A and SATCON 40kn (at
0430UTC).
While some environmental influences remain conducive for development- upper
level divergence poleward, low vertical wind shear (NW  at 12kn from CIMSS) and
warm waters (29C). These are offset by proximity to the island of Dolok, and
movement into a much drier environment that is now apparent. Model guidance is
in agreement that the circulation will continue to weaken.
There is broad model consensus for movement to the west northwest as the
weakening system is steered by the persistent low level southeasterly trade
flow.

Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
==
There will be no further bulletins for this system.

Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).