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IDQ21033
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

Cancellation of Severe Thunderstorm Warning
For people in Channel Country Forecast District.

Issued at 10:57 pm Thursday, 30 November 2023.

The immediate threat of severe thunderstorms has passed, but the situation will continue to be monitored and further warnings will be issued if necessary.

Alice Springs (NT) recorded a 113 km/h wind gust at 4:03pm.

Queensland Fire and Emergency Services advises that people should:
* Beware of fallen trees and powerlines.
* Never drive, walk or ride through flood waters. If it's flooded, forget it.
* For emergency assistance contact the SES on 132 500.


Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and Queensland Fire and Emergency Services would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.


Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

IDQ21035
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

Severe Thunderstorm Warning - Southeast Queensland
for LARGE HAILSTONES, DAMAGING WINDS and HEAVY RAINFALL

For people in parts of Logan, Gold Coast, Sunshine Coast, Moreton Bay and Redland City Council Areas.

Issued at 6:28 pm Wednesday, 29 November 2023.

Severe thunderstorms persist into the evening.

The Bureau of Meteorology warns that, at 6:20 pm, severe thunderstorms were detected on the weather radar near Caboolture, Beerburrum and Logan Village. These thunderstorms are moving towards the east to northeast. They are forecast to affect Beenleigh and northern Bribie Island by 6:35 pm and the area southwest of Caloundra, Bribie Island and waters off Bribie Island by 6:50 pm.

Large hailstones, damaging winds and heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding are likely.

Queensland Fire and Emergency Services advises that people should:
* Move your car under cover or away from trees.
* Secure loose outdoor items.
* Never drive, walk or ride through flood waters. If it's flooded, forget it.
* Seek shelter, preferably indoors and never under trees.
* Avoid using the telephone during a thunderstorm.
* Beware of fallen trees and powerlines.
* For emergency assistance contact the SES on 132 500.


The next warning is due to be issued by 7:00 pm.

A more general severe thunderstorm warning is also current for parts of the Wide Bay and Burnett and Southeast Coast districts.

Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and Queensland Fire and Emergency Services would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.


Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

IDQ10810
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea
Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Sunday 30 April 2023
for the period until midnight EST Wednesday 3 May 2023.

Existing Cyclones in the  Eastern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:

There are currently no significant tropical lows in the region, and none are
expected to develop in the next seven days.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:
Monday          Very Low
Tuesday         Very Low
Wednesday       Very Low



NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Moderate:     20 to 50%
Low:          5% to 20%                    High:         over  50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea
west of 160E.


Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

IDQP0005
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

IDQ20018
TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - EASTERN REGION
Issued by AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 1939 UTC 11/02/2023
Name: Ex-Tropical Cyclone Gabrielle
Identifier: 14U
Data At: 1800 UTC
Latitude: 29.7S
Longitude: 169.7E
Location Accuracy: within 20nm (35 km)
Movement Towards: east southeast (107 deg)
Speed of Movement: 14 knots (25 km/h)
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 55 knots (100 km/h)
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 75 knots (140 km/h)
Central Pressure: 958 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant: 300 nm (555 km)
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant: 400 nm (740 km)
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: 120 nm (220 km)
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant: 100 nm (185 km)
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant: 130 nm (240 km)
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant: 60 nm (110 km)
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant: 60 nm (110 km)
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant: 60 nm (110 km)
Radius of 64-knot winds:  nm ( km)
Radius of Maximum Winds:   nm (  km)
Dvorak Intensity Code:
Pressure of outermost isobar: 998 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 360 nm (670 km)
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time    : Location    : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind   : Central Pressure
(UTC)        : degrees     :      nm  (km): knots(km/h): hPa
+06:  12/0000: 30.8S 171.7E:     025 (050):  050  (095):  962
+12:  12/0600: 31.7S 173.1E:     035 (065):  045  (085):  964
+18:  12/1200:             :              :            :
+24:  12/1800:             :              :            :
+36:  13/0600:             :              :            :
+48:  13/1800:             :              :            :
+60:  14/0600:             :              :            :
+72:  14/1800:             :              :            :
+96:  15/1800:             :              :            :
+120: 16/1800:             :              :            :
REMARKS:
Gabrielle has been reclassified as a sub-tropical system based on satellite
signature, wind structure, and modelled position in the cyclone phase space as
a shallow asymmetric warm cored system. Hence conventional Dvorak is no longer
applicable to the intensity nor standard objective TC aids.

Gabrielle passed within 30km of Norfolk Island which reported a minimum
pressure of 958.1hPa at 11UTC Saturday. Fortunately Norfolk Is evaded the
highest winds, the airport recording only near-gales and maximum wind gust 102
km/h (55 knots) at 0336UTC on Saturday.

The current wind intensity (55kn) and wind structure are based primarily on
model guidance which is quite consistent and agrees with recent ASCAT-B at
1030UTC having partial coverage of western sectors.

The synoptic environment is unfavourable to sustain a true tropical cyclone as
strong wind shear persists and the system is now over SSTs below 25C, and
moving into even cooler SST. Gradual weakening is forecast although baroclinic
processes provided by the upper trough to the west is sustaining the system.

Observed winds at Norfolk Island have eased as the system moves away, mirroring
model guidance trends of rapid weakening in the western quadrants overnight.
Gales are no longer expected to affect the island.

Gabrielle will remain a robust circulation into Monday and Tuesday as it moves
closer to New Zealand.

Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
==
There will be no further bulletins for this system.

Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

IDD10610
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Northern Territory

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Northern Region, including the Gulf of Carpentaria
Issued at 2:15 pm CST on Sunday 30 April 2023
for the period until midnight CST Wednesday 3 May 2023.

Existing Cyclones in the  Northern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:

There currently no significant tropical lows in the region, and none are
expected to develop in the next seven days.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Northern Region on:
Monday          Very Low
Tuesday         Very Low
Wednesday       Very Low



NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Moderate:     20 to 50%
Low:          5% to 20%                    High:         over  50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Ocean area south of 9S, between
125E and 142E, including the Gulf of Carpentaria, but excluding the area around
Timor (northwest of 11S 125E, 11S 128E, 9S 128E).


Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

 IDDP0002
 Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
 Northern Territory
 Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre

IDD20020
TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - NORTHERN REGION
Issued by AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 0134 UTC 23/12/2022
Name: Ex-Tropical Cyclone Ellie
Identifier: 06U
Data At: 0000 UTC
Latitude: 15.2S
Longitude: 130.4E
Location Accuracy: within 15nm (30 km)
Movement Towards: south southeast (157 deg)
Speed of Movement: 10 knots (18 km/h)
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 30 knots (55 km/h)
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 45 knots (85 km/h)
Central Pressure: 996 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 64-knot winds:  nm ( km)
Radius of Maximum Winds:   nm (  km)
Dvorak Intensity Code: N/A
Pressure of outermost isobar: 1002 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 90 nm (165 km)
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time    : Location    : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind   : Central Pressure
(UTC)        : degrees     :      nm  (km): knots(km/h): hPa
+06:  23/0600: 15.9S 130.7E:     035 (065):  030  (055):  995
+12:  23/1200: 16.7S 130.8E:     045 (085):  025  (045):  995
+18:  23/1800: 17.3S 130.9E:     055 (105):  020  (035):  995
+24:  24/0000: 17.7S 130.9E:     065 (125):  020  (035):  994
+36:  24/1200: 18.4S 131.2E:     080 (150):  020  (035):  997
+48:  25/0000: 19.4S 131.6E:     105 (200):  020  (035):  998
+60:  25/1200: 20.4S 131.5E:     130 (240):  020  (035):  998
+72:  26/0000: 21.3S 131.4E:     155 (290):  025  (045):  997
+96:  27/0000: 21.9S 130.8E:     220 (405):  025  (045):  996
+120: 28/0000: 20.5S 130.0E:     255 (470):  025  (045):  998
REMARKS:
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Ellie (06U) has weakened below tropical cyclone strength
over land. Land observations near the path indicate gales are no longer
occurring near the system. Satellite imagery indicates a small tight
circulation persists but deep convection near the centre is mostly gone. Heavy
rainfall is still expected near the centre as it continues to track south over
land.

Model guidance supports the system retaining a coherent circulation a long way
inland, which could bring heavy rainfall to inland parts of the Northern
Territory.

In the longer term, there is some uncertainty in model guidance with the most
likely scenario is for the centre to start tracking to the northwest from
Tuesday, taking is across the Kimberley in northern Western Australia.

Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
==
There will be no further bulletins for this system unless it reintensifies.

Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).